Where it comes from
Joseph Piotroski, an accounting professor, published the score in 2000 in a study of companies trading at low prices relative to their book value. Within that group, he found that companies whose statements were improving went on to do markedly better than companies whose statements were deteriorating.
Its appeal is simplicity. Every test uses figures from two consecutive annual reports, and none needs a share price.
The nine tests
The tests cover profitability, leverage and liquidity, and operating efficiency. WylthIQ applies each one as follows.
- Profitable: net income is positive relative to assets.
- Positive cash flow: operating cash flow is above zero.
- Profitability improving: return on assets is higher than a year earlier.
- Profits backed by cash: operating cash flow exceeds net income.
- Debt not rising: long-term debt as a share of assets has not increased.
- Bills easier to pay: the current ratio is higher than a year earlier.
- No new shares issued: the share count has not grown by more than 2%, a margin that allows for routine employee share grants.
- Margins improving: gross margin is higher than a year earlier.
- Assets working harder: revenue divided by assets is higher than a year earlier.
Reading the score
Scores run from 0 to 9. On WylthIQ, a company passing at least 78% of the tests it could be scored on — 7 or more of 9 — is rated strong, at least 44% — 4 or more of 9 — mixed, and anything below that weak.
When a company does not report a figure a test needs, that test is left out and the score is shown out of fewer than nine, rather than counted as a failure. A bank, which reports no current ratio, is scored out of eight.
What it does not tell you
The score is deliberately blunt, and its bluntness has costs.
- It measures change, not level. An excellent business that had a slightly weaker year can score below a struggling one that improved a little.
- Every test is pass or fail, so a margin up by a hair counts the same as one up by ten points.
- It says nothing about valuation, and the original research concerned inexpensive, often small companies.
- Several tests fit industrial companies better than banks and insurers.